Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 243.804697 274.884706 309.363073 350.618242 398.862010 453.761149 521.342479
2025-03-30 192.895568 232.456844 280.149298 342.527685 422.924337 524.389937 664.294873
2025-04-06 167.298594 210.339678 265.088432 341.053799 445.690950 587.752466 800.580271
2025-04-13 143.965352 186.741709 243.368898 325.538983 444.697114 616.105008 890.851760
2025-04-20 134.953847 180.368269 242.851355 337.596476 482.244856 702.978360 1082.739043
2025-04-27 128.326916 176.169538 244.325536 351.927161 524.283502 802.512501 1315.455530
2025-05-04 119.230424 167.295651 237.753114 352.784058 544.667077 869.769278 1506.759091
2025-05-11 109.142654 155.901365 226.073482 343.881815 547.231059 906.327149 1648.379022
2025-05-18 100.883006 146.482591 216.413112 336.905511 551.688226 946.268871 1804.969720
2025-05-25 97.269007 143.861119 217.084713 347.050732 587.499483 1050.203319 2121.555298
2025-06-01 91.847024 137.895737 211.730336 346.035097 602.363237 1115.436346 2368.993328
2025-06-08 86.049373 130.862788 203.966282 339.800920 606.213930 1158.441082 2574.808500
2025-06-15 81.919419 126.385721 200.340958 341.108824 625.940888 1240.746167 2910.678523
2025-06-22 76.789640 119.886163 192.723095 334.182194 628.046187 1284.695794 3159.691596
2025-06-29 73.000682 115.378746 188.205146 332.654402 641.185468 1356.605009 3513.660679
2025-07-06 67.559458 107.665579 177.368305 317.616471 622.935971 1349.303159 3624.958594
2025-07-13 66.359123 107.268563 179.763930 329.310971 665.943424 1504.145116 4318.940242
2025-07-20 65.488826 107.377698 183.072035 343.207859 716.237747 1690.191067 5212.476270
2025-07-27 63.018275 104.424818 180.345713 344.038666 735.414182 1795.339792 5859.494846
2025-08-03 59.606543 99.542299 173.557799 335.406613 729.983704 1828.555445 6235.034900
2025-08-10 56.659392 95.357222 167.853523 328.640939 728.432328 1873.428829 6686.065868
2025-08-17 55.740249 94.909343 169.486710 338.479532 771.531398 2067.263482 7931.638836
2025-08-24 53.729641 92.269835 166.528660 337.494686 785.575154 2171.404134 8813.234890